Mainz 05 vs Werder Bremen prediction, H2H and stats

Germany · Germany Bundesliga

Mainz 05

5th in table

WLWLW

Kick-off

2–3

24 October 2026

Werder Bremen

8th in table

WDWDD

Mewa Arena, Eugen-Salomon-Straße 1

Head to head

Last 8 meetings
34games

11Mainz 05 wins

7Draws

16Werder Bremen wins

2.4Goals / game

38%Both scored

38%Over 2.5

Goals / game
2.85
Over 1.5
85%
Over 2.5
59%
Over 3.5
29%
Both teams scored
56%
Home clean sheets
24%
Away clean sheets
24%
15 MarchWerder Bremen0 - 2Mainz 05W
1 NovemberMainz 051 - 1Werder BremenD
31 JanuaryWerder Bremen1 - 0Mainz 05L
15 SeptemberMainz 051 - 2Werder BremenL
3 FebruaryMainz 050 - 1Werder BremenL
2 SeptemberWerder Bremen4 - 0Mainz 05L
8 AprilMainz 052 - 2Werder BremenD
15 OctoberWerder Bremen0 - 2Mainz 05W

Germany Bundesliga table

#TeamPts
1Bayern München14
2Borussia Dortmund14
3Freiburg13
4Bayer Leverkusen13
5Mainz 0510
6Elversberg10
7RB Leipzig9
8Werder Bremen9
9Hamburger SV9
10Augsburg8
11Eintracht Frankfurt8
12Köln7
13Stuttgart6
14Hoffenheim6
15Schalke 045
16Paderborn5
17Union Berlin5
18Borussia M'gladbach0

Recent form

Mainz 05

Last 6 stored matches

3Win

1Draw

2Lost

Under 1.5 · 33%Over 1.5 · 67%
Under 2.5 · 33%Over 2.5 · 67%
Under 3.5 · 33%Over 3.5 · 67%

ScoredConceded

  • 17 OctoberW

    Schalke 040–1Mainz 05

  • 10 OctoberL

    Mainz 053–4Bayer Leverkusen

  • 19 SeptemberW

    Borussia M'gladbach3–4Mainz 05

  • 12 SeptemberL

    Mainz 051–3Eintracht Frankfurt

  • 6 SeptemberW

    Hamburger SV0–5Mainz 05

  • 29 AugustD

    Mainz 050–0Paderborn

Werder Bremen

Last 6 stored matches

2Win

3Draw

1Lost

Under 1.5 · 0%Over 1.5 · 100%
Under 2.5 · 17%Over 2.5 · 83%
Under 3.5 · 17%Over 3.5 · 83%

ScoredConceded

  • 17 OctoberD

    Werder Bremen2–2Paderborn

  • 9 OctoberD

    Borussia Dortmund2–2Werder Bremen

  • 19 SeptemberW

    Werder Bremen3–2Augsburg

  • 12 SeptemberD

    Köln1–1Werder Bremen

  • 5 SeptemberW

    Werder Bremen3–1RB Leipzig

  • 30 AugustL

    Freiburg4–1Werder Bremen

Attack, shots and defence

Averages per game from the stored matches in this competition before kickoff.

Mainz 05Werder Bremen
6Played6
104.7Attack86.3
53Dangerous attacks38.7
17.7Shots14
6Shots on target6.8
12.5Shots faced15.3
2.3Goals scored2
1.7Goals conceded2
50.7Possession47.3
4.8Corners3.7
2.3Cards1.2

Next matches

This competition

Mainz 05

Elversberg (A)30 October
Bayern München (H)7 November
Augsburg (A)22 November
Union Berlin (H)28 November
RB Leipzig (A)5 December

Werder Bremen

Hoffenheim (H)31 October
Stuttgart (A)7 November
Hamburger SV (H)22 November
Borussia M'gladbach (H)27 November
Eintracht Frankfurt (A)5 December

Bottom thirdMid tableTop third

Who wins

1 · X · 2
1X2
55%23%23%
  • Mainz 0555%
  • Draw23%
  • Werder Bremen23%

Bookmaker prices, margin removed

Over / under 2.5
64%36%
  • Over 2.564%
  • Under 2.536%

Bookmaker prices, margin removed

Both teams score
61%40%
  • GG61%
  • NG40%

Bookmaker prices, margin removed

Double chance
63%37%
  • 1X63%
  • X237%

Bookmaker prices, margin removed

Bookmaker odds

Head to head

Mainz 05DrawWerder Bremen

The bookmaker bar is the stored prices with the margin removed. Head to head is the count of earlier meetings. Neither is a promised result.

Betting markets

MATCH RESULT

Mainz 051.7354.8% implied
Draw4.222.6% implied
Werder Bremen4.222.6% implied

TOTAL GOALS

Under 0.511.62% implied
Over 1.51.1420.5% implied
Under 1.55.54.2% implied
Over 2.51.4715.9% implied
Under 2.52.638.9% implied
Over 3.52.389.8% implied
Under 3.51.6214.4% implied
Over 4.54.15.7% implied
Under 4.51.2518.7% implied

BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE

GG1.5360.5% implied
NG2.3439.5% implied

DOUBLE CHANCE

1X1.2563% implied
X22.1337% implied

FIRST HALF RESULT

Mainz 052.1842.3% implied
Draw2.4437.8% implied
Werder Bremen4.6120% implied

SECOND HALF RESULT

Mainz 052.0544.3% implied
Draw2.733.6% implied
Werder Bremen4.122.1% implied

HALF GOALS

1st half over 0.51.219.6% implied
1st half under 0.53.86.2% implied
1st half over 1.52.310.2% implied
1st half under 1.51.6614.2% implied
2nd half over 0.51.1720.1% implied
2nd half under 0.54.84.9% implied
2nd half over 1.51.7913.2% implied
2nd half under 1.52.0311.6% implied

CORNERS

Over 7.51.2115.5% implied
Under 7.53.485.4% implied
Over 8.51.4812.7% implied
Under 8.52.57.5% implied
Over 9.52.069.1% implied
Under 9.51.979.5% implied
Over 10.52.38.2% implied
Under 10.51.5811.9% implied
Over 11.53.046.2% implied
Under 11.51.3314.1% implied

MOST CORNERS

Mainz 051.4565.4% implied
Draw9.89.7% implied
Werder Bremen3.824.9% implied

WIN TO NIL

Mainz 053.573.1% implied
Werder Bremen9.526.9% implied

Team comparison

33%Points per game67%
Mainz 05Werder Bremen
63%Expected goals37%
Mainz 05Werder Bremen
Corners / game
10.66
Cards / game
2.33
Offsides / game
2.67

Goal lines

  • Over 0.5 goals84%
  • Over 1.5 goals84%
  • Over 2.5 goals67%
  • Over 3.5 goals67%
  • Over 4.5 goals33%
  • Both teams score84%
  • 1st half over 0.567%
  • 1st half over 1.550%
  • 2nd half over 0.584%
  • 2nd half over 1.567%
  • Both score, 1st half17%
  • Corners over 8.584%
  • Corners over 9.567%
  • Corners over 10.567%

Season numbers

6Played6
3Won2
1Drawn3
2Lost1
14Goals for12
10Goals against12
10Points9

Mainz 05 vs Werder Bremen: preview

Mainz 05 meet Werder Bremen in the Germany, Germany Bundesliga on 24 October 2026 at 14:30 (Africa/Lagos). The listed venue is Mewa Arena. The recorded score is 2–3.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Mainz 05 at 1.73. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 54.8% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.47, about 64.1% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on GG at 1.53. FootyStats lists an over 2.5 potential of 67% for this fixture. The both-teams-to-score potential is 84%. The average-goals potential is 3.67.

Mainz 05 are listed at 0.33 points per game. Werder Bremen are listed at 0.67 points per game. Points per game is a season rate. It does not include late team news, so treat it as context next to the prices.

Mainz 05 vs Werder Bremen questions

What time is Mainz 05 vs Werder Bremen?
Kickoff is 14:30 on 24 October 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.
Which outcome is shortest on Mainz 05 vs Werder Bremen?
Mainz 05 is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.73. The margin-adjusted share is about 54.8%.
What are the over and under 2.5 prices?
Over 2.5 is 1.47 and under 2.5 is 2.63.
Do both teams score on this match?
Both teams to score is priced at 1.53. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.