Paderborn vs Hamburger SV prediction, H2H and stats

Germany · Germany Bundesliga

Paderborn

16th in table

LLWLD

Kick-off

1–0

24 October 2026

Hamburger SV

9th in table

LLWWW

Home Deluxe Arena, Paderborner Straße 89

Head to head

Last 8 meetings
15games

6Paderborn wins

2Draws

7Hamburger SV wins

3.1Goals / game

75%Both scored

75%Over 2.5

Goals / game
3.33
Over 1.5
87%
Over 2.5
73%
Over 3.5
40%
Both teams scored
60%
Home clean sheets
20%
Away clean sheets
20%
2 MarchPaderborn2 - 0Hamburger SVW
28 SeptemberHamburger SV2 - 2PaderbornD
10 MayPaderborn1 - 0Hamburger SVW
9 DecemberHamburger SV1 - 2PaderbornW
5 MayHamburger SV2 - 2PaderbornD
30 OctoberPaderborn2 - 3Hamburger SVL
2 AprilHamburger SV1 - 2PaderbornW
22 OctoberPaderborn1 - 2Hamburger SVL

Germany Bundesliga table

#TeamPts
1Bayern München14
2Borussia Dortmund14
3Freiburg13
4Bayer Leverkusen13
5Mainz 0510
6Elversberg10
7RB Leipzig9
8Werder Bremen9
9Hamburger SV9
10Augsburg8
11Eintracht Frankfurt8
12Köln7
13Stuttgart6
14Hoffenheim6
15Schalke 045
16Paderborn5
17Union Berlin5
18Borussia M'gladbach0

Recent form

Paderborn

Last 6 stored matches

1Win

2Draw

3Lost

Under 1.5 · 33%Over 1.5 · 67%
Under 2.5 · 50%Over 2.5 · 50%
Under 3.5 · 67%Over 3.5 · 33%

ScoredConceded

  • 17 OctoberD

    Werder Bremen2–2Paderborn

  • 10 OctoberL

    Paderborn0–2Stuttgart

  • 20 SeptemberW

    Paderborn3–1Hoffenheim

  • 12 SeptemberL

    Borussia Dortmund3–0Paderborn

  • 5 SeptemberL

    Paderborn0–1Freiburg

  • 29 AugustD

    Mainz 050–0Paderborn

Hamburger SV

Last 6 stored matches

3Win

0Draw

3Lost

Under 1.5 · 17%Over 1.5 · 83%
Under 2.5 · 33%Over 2.5 · 67%
Under 3.5 · 50%Over 3.5 · 50%

ScoredConceded

  • 17 OctoberW

    Hamburger SV1–0Stuttgart

  • 10 OctoberW

    Hoffenheim2–3Hamburger SV

  • 19 SeptemberW

    Hamburger SV2–1Köln

  • 13 SeptemberL

    RB Leipzig5–0Hamburger SV

  • 6 SeptemberL

    Hamburger SV0–5Mainz 05

  • 29 AugustL

    Borussia Dortmund2–0Hamburger SV

Attack, shots and defence

Averages per game from the stored matches in this competition before kickoff.

PaderbornHamburger SV
6Played6
98.8Attack76.3
45.8Dangerous attacks33
13.7Shots11.2
3Shots on target3.7
18.3Shots faced19.2
0.8Goals scored1
1.5Goals conceded2.5
46.3Possession39.5
4.3Corners3.8
1.3Cards1.5

Next matches

This competition

Paderborn

Borussia M'gladbach (A)31 October
Eintracht Frankfurt (H)7 November
Bayer Leverkusen (A)21 November
Schalke 04 (H)28 November
Bayern München (A)5 December

Hamburger SV

Eintracht Frankfurt (A)1 November
Borussia M'gladbach (H)6 November
Werder Bremen (A)22 November
Bayern München (H)28 November
Union Berlin (A)5 December

Bottom thirdMid tableTop third

Who wins

1 · X · 2
1X2
41%24%35%
  • Paderborn41%
  • Draw24%
  • Hamburger SV35%

Bookmaker prices, margin removed

Over / under 2.5
61%39%
  • Over 2.561%
  • Under 2.539%

Bookmaker prices, margin removed

Both teams score
62%38%
  • GG62%
  • NG38%

Bookmaker prices, margin removed

Double chance
58%42%
  • 1X58%
  • X242%

Bookmaker prices, margin removed

Bookmaker odds

Head to head

PaderbornDrawHamburger SV

The bookmaker bar is the stored prices with the margin removed. Head to head is the count of earlier meetings. Neither is a promised result.

Betting markets

MATCH RESULT

Paderborn2.2140.9% implied
Draw3.724.4% implied
Hamburger SV2.634.7% implied

TOTAL GOALS

Under 0.511.62% implied
Over 1.51.1719.9% implied
Under 1.554.7% implied
Over 2.51.614.6% implied
Under 2.52.479.4% implied
Over 3.52.429.6% implied
Under 3.51.5714.9% implied
Over 4.54.335.4% implied
Under 4.51.219.4% implied

BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE

GG1.5362% implied
NG2.538% implied

DOUBLE CHANCE

1X1.2257.9% implied
X21.6842.1% implied

FIRST HALF RESULT

Paderborn2.5235.4% implied
Draw2.3837.5% implied
Hamburger SV3.327.1% implied

SECOND HALF RESULT

Paderborn2.4337.5% implied
Draw2.7633% implied
Hamburger SV3.0829.6% implied

HALF GOALS

1st half over 0.51.2718.6% implied
1st half under 0.53.756.3% implied
1st half over 1.52.2510.5% implied
1st half under 1.51.6114.6% implied
2nd half over 0.51.1520.5% implied
2nd half under 0.54.954.8% implied
2nd half over 1.51.813.1% implied
2nd half under 1.52.0111.7% implied

CORNERS

Over 7.51.215.5% implied
Under 7.53.295.6% implied
Over 8.51.4612.7% implied
Under 8.52.537.3% implied
Over 9.52.029.2% implied
Under 9.52.019.2% implied
Over 10.52.248.3% implied
Under 10.51.6111.5% implied
Over 11.52.976.3% implied
Under 11.51.314.3% implied

MOST CORNERS

Paderborn1.6553.9% implied
Draw8.510.5% implied
Hamburger SV2.535.6% implied

WIN TO NIL

Paderborn4.557.1% implied
Hamburger SV642.9% implied

Team comparison

50%Points per game50%
PaderbornHamburger SV
60%Expected goals40%
PaderbornHamburger SV
Corners / game
9.67
Cards / game
2.33
Offsides / game
2.67

Goal lines

  • Over 0.5 goals100%
  • Over 1.5 goals84%
  • Over 2.5 goals50%
  • Over 3.5 goals50%
  • Over 4.5 goals34%
  • Both teams score33%
  • 1st half over 0.5100%
  • 1st half over 1.567%
  • 2nd half over 0.567%
  • 2nd half over 1.550%
  • Both score, 1st half17%
  • Corners over 8.584%
  • Corners over 9.567%
  • Corners over 10.550%

Season numbers

6Played6
1Won3
2Drawn0
3Lost3
5Goals for6
9Goals against15
5Points9

Paderborn vs Hamburger SV: preview

Paderborn meet Hamburger SV in the Germany, Germany Bundesliga on 24 October 2026 at 14:30 (Africa/Lagos). The listed venue is Home Deluxe Arena. The recorded score is 1–0.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Paderborn at 2.21. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 40.9% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.6, about 60.7% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on GG at 1.53. FootyStats lists an over 2.5 potential of 50% for this fixture. The both-teams-to-score potential is 33%. The average-goals potential is 3.17.

Paderborn are listed at 1 points per game. Hamburger SV are listed at 1 points per game. Points per game is a season rate. It does not include late team news, so treat it as context next to the prices.

Paderborn vs Hamburger SV questions

What time is Paderborn vs Hamburger SV?
Kickoff is 14:30 on 24 October 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.
Which outcome is shortest on Paderborn vs Hamburger SV?
Paderborn is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.21. The margin-adjusted share is about 40.9%.
What are the over and under 2.5 prices?
Over 2.5 is 1.6 and under 2.5 is 2.47.
Do both teams score on this match?
Both teams to score is priced at 1.53. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.