Aston Villa vs Manchester City prediction, H2H and stats

England · England Premier League

Aston Villa

11th in table

DLWDW

Kick-off

2–1

24 October 2026

Manchester City

1st in table

WWWWW

Villa Park, Trinity Road, Birmingham B6 6HE

Head to head

Last 8 meetings
36games

8Aston Villa wins

4Draws

24Manchester City wins

2.8Goals / game

75%Both scored

63%Over 2.5

Goals / game
3.19
Over 1.5
81%
Over 2.5
64%
Over 3.5
42%
Both teams scored
53%
Home clean sheets
11%
Away clean sheets
39%
24 MayManchester City1 - 2Aston VillaW
26 OctoberAston Villa1 - 0Manchester CityW
22 AprilManchester City2 - 1Aston VillaL
21 DecemberAston Villa2 - 1Manchester CityW
3 AprilManchester City4 - 1Aston VillaL
6 DecemberAston Villa1 - 0Manchester CityW
12 FebruaryManchester City3 - 1Aston VillaL
3 SeptemberAston Villa1 - 1Manchester CityD

England Premier League table

#TeamPts
1Manchester City21
2Arsenal18
3Brighton & Hove Albion16
4Chelsea13
5Liverpool12
6Brentford10
7Leeds United10
8Everton10
9Hull City9
10Ipswich Town9
11Aston Villa8
12Newcastle United8
13Manchester United7
14Crystal Palace7
15Tottenham Hotspur6
16AFC Bournemouth6
17Coventry City6
18Fulham5
19Nottingham Forest5
20Sunderland4

Recent form

Aston Villa

Last 6 stored matches

2Win

2Draw

2Lost

Under 1.5 · 50%Over 1.5 · 50%
Under 2.5 · 50%Over 2.5 · 50%
Under 3.5 · 67%Over 3.5 · 33%

ScoredConceded

  • 17 OctoberW

    Newcastle United0–1Aston Villa

  • 10 OctoberD

    Aston Villa2–2Brentford

  • 19 SeptemberW

    Tottenham Hotspur2–3Aston Villa

  • 12 SeptemberL

    Aston Villa1–2Nottingham Forest

  • 5 SeptemberD

    Hull City0–0Aston Villa

  • 31 AugustL

    Aston Villa0–1Arsenal

Manchester City

Last 6 stored matches

6Win

0Draw

0Lost

Under 1.5 · 33%Over 1.5 · 67%
Under 2.5 · 33%Over 2.5 · 67%
Under 3.5 · 50%Over 3.5 · 50%

ScoredConceded

  • 17 OctoberW

    Manchester City3–2Ipswich Town

  • 11 OctoberW

    Liverpool0–3Manchester City

  • 20 SeptemberW

    Manchester City5–3Sunderland

  • 13 SeptemberW

    Manchester United0–1Manchester City

  • 5 SeptemberW

    Manchester City1–0Coventry City

  • 28 AugustW

    Crystal Palace1–4Manchester City

Attack, shots and defence

Averages per game from the stored matches in this competition before kickoff.

Aston VillaManchester City
6Played6
93.8Attack118
40.2Dangerous attacks56.2
12.8Shots14.8
3.7Shots on target5.2
15Shots faced12.5
1.2Goals scored2.8
1.2Goals conceded1
50.8Possession64.2
3.3Corners5.2
1.8Cards1.7

Next matches

This competition

Aston Villa

Fulham (H)31 October
Manchester United (A)8 November
Sunderland (H)21 November
Ipswich Town (A)28 November
Everton (H)2 December

Manchester City

Brighton & Hove Albion (H)31 October
Nottingham Forest (A)7 November
Fulham (H)21 November
Arsenal (A)29 November
Leeds United (H)2 December

Bottom thirdMid tableTop third

Who wins

1 · X · 2
1X2
20%21%59%
  • Aston Villa20%
  • Draw21%
  • Manchester City59%

Bookmaker prices, margin removed

Over / under 2.5
63%37%
  • Over 2.563%
  • Under 2.537%

Bookmaker prices, margin removed

Both teams score
60%40%
  • GG60%
  • NG40%

Bookmaker prices, margin removed

Double chance
51%49%
  • 1X51%
  • X249%

Bookmaker prices, margin removed

Bookmaker odds

Head to head

Aston VillaDrawManchester City

The bookmaker bar is the stored prices with the margin removed. Head to head is the count of earlier meetings. Neither is a promised result.

Betting markets

MATCH RESULT

Aston Villa4.4520.2% implied
Draw4.320.9% implied
Manchester City1.5259% implied

TOTAL GOALS

Over 0.51.0118.7% implied
Under 0.511.61.6% implied
Over 1.51.1316.7% implied
Under 1.55.53.4% implied
Over 2.51.512.6% implied
Under 2.52.57.5% implied
Over 3.52.298.2% implied
Under 3.51.6411.5% implied
Over 4.53.85% implied
Under 4.51.2714.8% implied

BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE

GG1.659.8% implied
NG2.3840.2% implied

DOUBLE CHANCE

1X1.1750.8% implied
X21.2149.2% implied

FIRST HALF RESULT

Aston Villa4.7519.2% implied
Draw2.635.1% implied
Manchester City245.7% implied

SECOND HALF RESULT

Aston Villa4.420.9% implied
Draw2.9531.2% implied
Manchester City1.9247.9% implied

HALF GOALS

1st half over 0.51.2219.2% implied
1st half under 0.53.756.2% implied
1st half over 1.52.210.6% implied
1st half under 1.51.6414.2% implied
2nd half over 0.51.1420.5% implied
2nd half under 0.54.84.9% implied
2nd half over 1.51.7513.4% implied
2nd half under 1.52.1211% implied

CORNERS

Over 7.51.2215% implied
Under 7.53.35.6% implied
Over 8.51.512.2% implied
Under 8.52.47.6% implied
Over 9.51.859.9% implied
Under 9.51.859.9% implied
Over 10.52.47.6% implied
Under 10.51.512.2% implied
Over 11.53.35.6% implied
Under 11.51.2914.2% implied

MOST CORNERS

Aston Villa328.7% implied
Draw7.511.5% implied
Manchester City1.4459.8% implied

WIN TO NIL

Aston Villa9.526.9% implied
Manchester City3.573.1% implied

Team comparison

10%Points per game90%
Aston VillaManchester City
46%Expected goals54%
Aston VillaManchester City
Corners / game
9.66
Cards / game
5.00
Offsides / game
1.33

Goal lines

  • Over 0.5 goals100%
  • Over 1.5 goals67%
  • Over 2.5 goals67%
  • Over 3.5 goals33%
  • Over 4.5 goals17%
  • Both teams score50%
  • 1st half over 0.533%
  • 1st half over 1.517%
  • 2nd half over 0.5100%
  • 2nd half over 1.567%
  • Both score, 1st half17%
  • Corners over 8.534%
  • Corners over 9.534%
  • Corners over 10.534%

Season numbers

7Played7
2Won7
2Drawn0
3Lost0
7Goals for19
11Goals against7
8Points21

Aston Villa vs Manchester City: preview

Aston Villa meet Manchester City in the England, England Premier League on 24 October 2026 at 12:30 (Africa/Lagos). The listed venue is Villa Park. The recorded score is 2–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Manchester City at 1.52. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 59% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.5, about 62.5% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on GG at 1.6. FootyStats lists an over 2.5 potential of 67% for this fixture. The both-teams-to-score potential is 50%. The average-goals potential is 2.84.

Aston Villa are listed at 0.33 points per game. Manchester City are listed at 3 points per game. Points per game is a season rate. It does not include late team news, so treat it as context next to the prices.

Aston Villa vs Manchester City questions

What time is Aston Villa vs Manchester City?
Kickoff is 12:30 on 24 October 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.
Which outcome is shortest on Aston Villa vs Manchester City?
Manchester City is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.52. The margin-adjusted share is about 59%.
What are the over and under 2.5 prices?
Over 2.5 is 1.5 and under 2.5 is 2.5.
Do both teams score on this match?
Both teams to score is priced at 1.6. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.