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Paphos vs Riga prediction, H2H and stats

Europe · Europe UEFA Europa Conference League

Paphos

67th in table

DWL

Kick-off

1–1

22 October 2026

Riga

6th in table

WDDWD

Stadio Stelios Kyriakides, Leoforos Dimokratías

Head to head

Last 0 meetings
0games

0Paphos wins

0Draws

0Riga wins

–Goals / game

–Both scored

–Over 2.5

No earlier meetings are stored for this pair.

Europe UEFA Europa Conference League table

#TeamPts
1København17
2Lugano17
3Nordsjælland16
4Ajax16
5Partizan15
6Riga15
7Panathinaikos15
8Rapid Wien14
9Brann14
10Sporting Braga14
11Hajduk Split13
12Midtjylland13
13Borac Banja Luka13
14KAA Gent13
15Inter Turku13
16Drita12
17Jablonec12
18Dinamo Tirana11
19Raków Częstochowa11
20Twente10
67Paphos4

Recent form

Paphos

Last 3 stored matches

1Win

1Draw

1Lost

Under 1.5 · 0%Over 1.5 · 100%
Under 2.5 · 33%Over 2.5 · 67%
Under 3.5 · 33%Over 3.5 · 67%

ScoredConceded

  • 15 OctoberL

    Atalanta3–1Paphos

  • 27 AugustW

    Paphos4–2Dinamo Tirana

  • 20 AugustD

    Dinamo Tirana1–1Paphos

Riga

Last 6 stored matches

3Win

3Draw

0Lost

Under 1.5 · 33%Over 1.5 · 67%
Under 2.5 · 67%Over 2.5 · 33%
Under 3.5 · 83%Over 3.5 · 17%

ScoredConceded

  • 15 OctoberD

    Riga1–1Kairat

  • 27 AugustW

    Riga2–1KÍ

  • 20 AugustD

    KÍ0–0Riga

  • 13 AugustD

    ETO1–1Riga

  • 6 AugustW

    Riga1–0ETO

  • 28 JulyW

    Riga5–2Vardar

Attack, shots and defence

Averages per game from the stored matches in this competition before kickoff.

PaphosRiga
3Played6
92.7Attack143.7
58Dangerous attacks88.7
13.7Shots21.8
5.7Shots on target8.3
12.3Shots faced7.5
2Goals scored1.7
2Goals conceded0.8
46.3Possession60.5
2.7Corners7.5
2.7Cards2

Next matches

This competition

Paphos

Twente (A)5 November
Midtjylland (H)26 November
Mjällby (A)10 December
Hearts (H)17 December

Riga

Jablonec (H)5 November
Kauno Žalgiris (A)26 November
Atalanta (H)10 December
Borac Banja Luka (A)17 December

Bottom thirdMid tableTop third

Who wins

1 · X · 2
1X2
60%23%17%
  • Paphos60%
  • Draw23%
  • Riga17%

Bookmaker prices, margin removed

Over / under 2.5
55%45%
  • Over 2.555%
  • Under 2.545%

Bookmaker prices, margin removed

Both teams score
52%48%
  • GG52%
  • NG48%

Bookmaker prices, margin removed

Double chance
66%34%
  • 1X66%
  • X234%

Bookmaker prices, margin removed

Bookmaker odds

PaphosDrawRiga

The bookmaker bar is the stored prices with the margin removed. Head to head is the count of earlier meetings. Neither is a promised result.

Betting markets

MATCH RESULT

Paphos1.5959.6% implied
Draw4.123.1% implied
Riga5.4917.3% implied

TOTAL GOALS

Over 0.51.0318% implied
Under 0.5111.7% implied
Over 1.51.215.4% implied
Under 1.54.14.5% implied
Over 2.51.7110.8% implied
Under 2.52.069% implied
Over 3.52.86.6% implied
Under 3.51.3613.6% implied
Over 4.55.43.4% implied
Under 4.51.116.8% implied

BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE

GG1.852% implied
NG1.9548% implied

DOUBLE CHANCE

1X1.1865.6% implied
X22.2534.4% implied

FIRST HALF RESULT

Paphos2.143.6% implied
Draw2.2740.3% implied
Riga5.7116% implied

SECOND HALF RESULT

Paphos2.0544.1% implied
Draw2.536.2% implied
Riga4.619.7% implied

HALF GOALS

1st half over 0.51.2917.9% implied
1st half under 0.53.37% implied
1st half over 1.52.559% implied
1st half under 1.51.4515.9% implied
2nd half over 0.51.1520.1% implied
2nd half under 0.54.335.3% implied
2nd half over 1.51.9212% implied
2nd half under 1.51.812.8% implied

CORNERS

Over 7.51.3613.4% implied
Under 7.52.676.8% implied
Over 8.51.6511.1% implied
Under 8.52.058.9% implied
Over 9.52.47.6% implied
Under 9.51.6311.2% implied
Over 10.52.656.9% implied
Under 10.51.3613.4% implied
Over 11.53.375.4% implied
Under 11.51.1915.3% implied

MOST CORNERS

Paphos1.4461.4% implied
Draw712.6% implied
Riga3.426% implied

WIN TO NIL

Paphos2.878.1% implied
Riga1021.9% implied

Team comparison

38%Points per game62%
PaphosRiga
40%Expected goals60%
PaphosRiga
Corners / game
9.53
Cards / game
4.96
Offsides / game
5.43

Goal lines

  • Over 0.5 goals93%
  • Over 1.5 goals86%
  • Over 2.5 goals55%
  • Over 3.5 goals48%
  • Over 4.5 goals31%
  • Both teams score86%
  • 1st half over 0.569%
  • 1st half over 1.548%
  • 2nd half over 0.579%
  • 2nd half over 1.555%
  • Both score, 1st half67%
  • Corners over 8.536%
  • Corners over 9.529%
  • Corners over 10.522%

Season numbers

3Played7
1Won4
1Drawn3
1Lost0
6Goals for13
6Goals against7
4Points15

Paphos vs Riga: preview

Paphos meet Riga in the Europe, Europe UEFA Europa Conference League on 22 October 2026 at 17:45 (Africa/Lagos). The listed venue is Stadio Stelios Kyriakides. The recorded score is 1–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Paphos at 1.59. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 59.6% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.71, about 54.6% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on GG at 1.8. FootyStats lists an over 2.5 potential of 55% for this fixture. The both-teams-to-score potential is 86%. The average-goals potential is 3.43.

Paphos are listed at 1.33 points per game. Riga are listed at 2.14 points per game. Points per game is a season rate. It does not include late team news, so treat it as context next to the prices.

Paphos vs Riga questions

What time is Paphos vs Riga?
Kickoff is 17:45 on 22 October 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.
Which outcome is shortest on Paphos vs Riga?
Paphos is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.59. The margin-adjusted share is about 59.6%.
What are the over and under 2.5 prices?
Over 2.5 is 1.71 and under 2.5 is 2.06.
Do both teams score on this match?
Both teams to score is priced at 1.8. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.