What time is Bahia vs São Paulo?

Kickoff is 01:30 on 29 October 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Bahia vs São Paulo?

Bahia is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.95. The margin-adjusted share is about 48.2%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.83 and under 2.5 is 2.05.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.67. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Bahia vs São Paulo prediction, H2H and stats

Brazil · Brazil Serie A

Bahia

7th in table

LLWLD

Kick-off

3–2

29 October 2026

São Paulo

9th in table

LLWWD

Arena Fonte Nova, Rua Lions Club, Nazaré

Head to head

Last 8 meetings

23games

6Bahia wins

7Draws

10São Paulo wins

2.3Goals / game

38%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

Goals / game: 2.00
Over 1.5: 57%
Over 2.5: 39%
Over 3.5: 17%
Both teams scored: 43%
Home clean sheets: 26%
Away clean sheets: 43%

3 MaySão Paulo

2 - 2

BahiaD

26 OctoberSão Paulo

2 - 0

BahiaL

31 MayBahia

2 - 1

São PauloW

6 NovemberBahia

0 - 3

São PauloL

30 JuneSão Paulo

3 - 1

BahiaL

30 NovemberBahia

0 - 1

São PauloL

30 JulySão Paulo

0 - 0

BahiaD

7 NovemberBahia

1 - 0

São PauloW

Brazil Serie A table

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts	Form
1	Palmeiras	32	20	9	3	56:22	+34	69
2	Flamengo	31	20	7	4	61:25	+36	67
3	Atlético PR	32	15	9	8	50:38	+12	54
4	Cruzeiro	32	16	6	10	51:46	+5	54
5	Fluminense	32	14	9	9	50:41	+9	51
6	Atlético Mineiro	31	14	8	9	42:35	+7	50
7	Bahia	32	13	11	8	45:40	+5	50	WLD
8	Santos	32	12	10	10	49:47	+2	46
9	São Paulo	32	12	7	13	37:36	+1	43	WWD
10	Bragantino	32	11	8	13	39:38	+1	41
11	Botafogo	32	10	9	13	44:51	-7	39
12	Coritiba	31	10	9	12	38:49	-11	39
13	Vasco da Gama	31	10	8	13	39:45	-6	38
14	Vitória	32	10	8	14	35:46	-11	38
15	Mirassol	32	9	10	13	37:45	-8	37
16	Internacional	32	8	11	13	36:40	-4	35
17	Corinthians	32	8	9	15	34:42	-8	33
18	Grêmio	31	7	10	14	34:44	-10	31
19	Remo	32	5	11	16	34:50	-16	26
20	Chapecoense	31	4	9	18	32:63	-31	21

Recent form

Bahia

Last 6 stored matches

2Win

1Draw

3Lost

Under 1.5 · 33%Over 1.5 · 67%

Under 2.5 · 50%Over 2.5 · 50%

Under 3.5 · 100%Over 3.5 · 0%

ScoredConceded

25 OctoberD
Santos1–1Bahia
18 OctoberL
Bahia0–3Flamengo
11 OctoberW
Bahia1–0Mirassol
9 OctoberL
Palmeiras1–0Bahia
20 SeptemberL
Atlético PR2–1Bahia
15 SeptemberW
Bahia2–1Remo

São Paulo

Last 6 stored matches

3Win

1Draw

2Lost

Under 1.5 · 33%Over 1.5 · 67%

Under 2.5 · 67%Over 2.5 · 33%

Under 3.5 · 100%Over 3.5 · 0%

ScoredConceded

24 OctoberD
Mirassol1–1São Paulo
18 OctoberW
São Paulo1–0Vasco da Gama
11 OctoberW
São Paulo2–1Vitória
8 OctoberL
Cruzeiro2–0São Paulo
3 OctoberL
São Paulo1–2Santos
20 SeptemberW
São Paulo1–0Internacional

Trends

This competition

Bahia

Bahia scored 0.8 per game in the last 6 in this competition.
Bahia conceded 1.3 per game in the last 6 in this competition.
Failed to score in 2 of those 6.
Kept a clean sheet in 1 of those 6.
Over 2.5 goals in 3 of those 6.
Both teams scored in 3 of those 6.

São Paulo

São Paulo scored 1 per game in the last 6 in this competition.
São Paulo conceded 1 per game in the last 6 in this competition.
Failed to score in 1 of those 6.
Kept a clean sheet in 2 of those 6.
Over 2.5 goals in 2 of those 6.
Both teams scored in 3 of those 6.

Attack, shots and defence

Averages per game from the stored matches in this competition before kickoff.

BahiaSão Paulo

6Played6

92.5Attack108.5

38.7Dangerous attacks48.5

13Shots14.8

3.3Shots on target3.8

17.3Shots faced14.7

0.8Goals scored1

1.3Goals conceded1

50.8Possession49.8

5.2Corners6.8

2.3Cards2

Next matches

This competition

Bahia

Cruzeiro (A)6 November

Grêmio (A)18 November

Coritiba (H)21 November

Botafogo (A)28 November

Atlético Mineiro (H)2 December

São Paulo

Corinthians (H)5 November

Fluminense (H)18 November

Botafogo (A)21 November

Remo (H)28 November

Atlético PR (A)2 December

Bottom thirdMid tableTop third

Who wins

1 · X · 2

1X2

Bahia48%
Draw26%
São Paulo25%

Bookmaker prices, margin removed

Over / under 2.5

Over 2.553%
Under 2.547%

Bookmaker prices, margin removed

Both teams score

GG56%
NG44%

Bookmaker prices, margin removed

Double chance

1X60%
X240%

Bookmaker prices, margin removed

Bookmaker odds

48%26%26%

Head to head

26%30%44%

BahiaDrawSão Paulo

The bookmaker bar is the stored prices with the margin removed. Head to head is the count of earlier meetings. Neither is a promised result.

Betting markets

MATCH RESULT

Bahia1.9548.2% implied

Draw3.5526.5% implied

São Paulo3.725.4% implied

TOTAL GOALS

Over 0.51.0218.6% implied

Under 0.510.51.8% implied

Over 1.51.2215.5% implied

Under 1.54.14.6% implied

Over 2.51.8310.3% implied

Under 2.52.059.2% implied

Over 3.53.16.1% implied

Under 3.51.3613.9% implied

Over 4.563.2% implied

Under 4.51.1316.8% implied

BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE

GG1.6755.7% implied

NG2.144.3% implied

DOUBLE CHANCE

1X1.2260% implied

X21.8340% implied

FIRST HALF RESULT

Bahia2.538.5% implied

Draw2.440.1% implied

São Paulo4.521.4% implied

SECOND HALF RESULT

Bahia2.240.8% implied

Draw2.5834.8% implied

São Paulo3.6824.4% implied

HALF GOALS

1st half over 0.51.3517.3% implied

1st half under 0.53.257.2% implied

1st half over 1.52.449.6% implied

1st half under 1.51.4715.9% implied

2nd half over 0.51.2219.1% implied

2nd half under 0.53.985.9% implied

2nd half over 1.51.9512% implied

2nd half under 1.51.7713.2% implied

CORNERS

Over 7.51.116.6% implied

Under 7.55.53.3% implied

Over 8.51.2215% implied

Under 8.53.74.9% implied

Over 9.51.4212.9% implied

Under 9.52.57.3% implied

Over 10.51.7310.6% implied

Under 10.51.959.4% implied

Over 11.52.28.3% implied

Under 11.51.5711.6% implied

MOST CORNERS

Bahia1.5756.5% implied

Draw7.511.8% implied

São Paulo2.831.7% implied

WIN TO NIL

Bahia3.463.8% implied

São Paulo636.2% implied

Team comparison

73%Points per game27%

BahiaSão Paulo

56%Expected goals44%

BahiaSão Paulo

Corners / game: 11.82
Cards / game: 4.82
Offsides / game: 2.57

Goal lines

Over 0.5 goals97%
Over 1.5 goals82%
Over 2.5 goals41%
Over 3.5 goals10%
Over 4.5 goals6%
Both teams score60%
1st half over 0.578%
1st half over 1.535%
2nd half over 0.576%
2nd half over 1.535%
Both score, 1st half19%
Corners over 8.575%
Corners over 9.572%
Corners over 10.550%

Season numbers

32Played32

13Won12

11Drawn7

8Lost13

45Goals for37

40Goals against36

50Points43

Bahia vs São Paulo: preview

Bahia meet São Paulo in the Brazil, Brazil Serie A on 29 October 2026 at 01:30 (Africa/Lagos). The listed venue is Arena Fonte Nova. The recorded score is 3–2.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Bahia at 1.95. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 48.2% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.83, about 52.8% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on GG at 1.67. FootyStats lists an over 2.5 potential of 41% for this fixture. The both-teams-to-score potential is 60%. The average-goals potential is 2.35.

Bahia are listed at 1.69 points per game. São Paulo are listed at 0.63 points per game. Points per game is a season rate. It does not include late team news, so treat it as context next to the prices.

Bahia vs São Paulo questions

What time is Bahia vs São Paulo?: Kickoff is 01:30 on 29 October 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.
Which outcome is shortest on Bahia vs São Paulo?: Bahia is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.95. The margin-adjusted share is about 48.2%.
What are the over and under 2.5 prices?: Over 2.5 is 1.83 and under 2.5 is 2.05.
Do both teams score on this match?: Both teams to score is priced at 1.67. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.