Lugano vs Basel prediction, H2H and stats

Switzerland · Switzerland Super League

Lugano

1st in table

DWWWW

Kick-off

2–1

1 November 2026

Basel

7th in table

LWLLD

Stadio di Cornaredo, Via Trevano 100

Head to head

Last 8 meetings
45games

13Lugano wins

14Draws

18Basel wins

3.5Goals / game

63%Both scored

63%Over 2.5

Goals / game
3.13
Over 1.5
87%
Over 2.5
60%
Over 3.5
44%
Both teams scored
62%
Home clean sheets
18%
Away clean sheets
20%
6 SeptemberBasel1 - 3LuganoW
17 MayLugano4 - 0BaselW
15 FebruaryBasel1 - 1LuganoD
9 NovemberBasel0 - 1LuganoW
10 AugustLugano3 - 1BaselW
10 MayLugano2 - 5BaselL
6 AprilBasel2 - 0LuganoL
19 JanuaryLugano2 - 2BaselD

Switzerland Super League table

#TeamPts
1Lugano31
2Young Boys25
3Sion22
4Zürich17
5Servette16
6St. Gallen16
7Basel14
8Luzern12
9Thun10
10Vaduz9
11Grasshopper9
12Lausanne Sport6

Recent form

Lugano

Last 6 stored matches

5Win

1Draw

0Lost

Under 1.5 · 0%Over 1.5 · 100%
Under 2.5 · 0%Over 2.5 · 100%
Under 3.5 · 0%Over 3.5 · 100%

ScoredConceded

  • 25 OctoberW

    Thun2–3Lugano

  • 10 OctoberW

    Lugano4–0Luzern

  • 20 SeptemberW

    Lausanne Sport0–4Lugano

  • 16 SeptemberW

    Lugano4–1St. Gallen

  • 12 SeptemberD

    Lugano2–2Young Boys

  • 6 SeptemberW

    Basel1–3Lugano

Basel

Last 6 stored matches

1Win

1Draw

4Lost

Under 1.5 · 17%Over 1.5 · 83%
Under 2.5 · 17%Over 2.5 · 83%
Under 3.5 · 50%Over 3.5 · 50%

ScoredConceded

  • 25 OctoberD

    Basel0–0Grasshopper

  • 11 OctoberL

    Vaduz3–0Basel

  • 20 SeptemberL

    Basel1–3St. Gallen

  • 13 SeptemberW

    Luzern2–4Basel

  • 6 SeptemberL

    Basel1–3Lugano

  • 3 SeptemberL

    Basel1–2Sion

Attack, shots and defence

Averages per game from the stored matches in this competition before kickoff.

LuganoBasel
6Played6
95.3Attack97.5
38.7Dangerous attacks49.5
18.5Shots12
6.3Shots on target2.8
13.2Shots faced19.7
3.3Goals scored1.2
1Goals conceded2.2
56.8Possession54.3
4.8Corners3.8
3.5Cards2.2

Next matches

This competition

Lugano

St. Gallen (A)8 November
Grasshopper (H)21 November
Luzern (A)29 November
Zürich (A)5 December
Thun (H)13 December

Basel

Thun (A)8 November
Luzern (H)22 November
Grasshopper (A)28 November
Servette (H)6 December
Sion (A)13 December

Bottom thirdMid tableTop third

Who wins

1 · X · 2
1X2
59%21%20%
  • Lugano59%
  • Draw21%
  • Basel20%

Bookmaker prices, margin removed

Over / under 2.5
66%34%
  • Over 2.566%
  • Under 2.534%

Bookmaker prices, margin removed

Both teams score
61%39%
  • GG61%
  • NG39%

Bookmaker prices, margin removed

Double chance
67%33%
  • 1X67%
  • X233%

Bookmaker prices, margin removed

Bookmaker odds

Head to head

LuganoDrawBasel

The bookmaker bar is the stored prices with the margin removed. Head to head is the count of earlier meetings. Neither is a promised result.

Betting markets

MATCH RESULT

Lugano1.659% implied
Draw4.521% implied
Basel4.7320% implied

TOTAL GOALS

Over 0.51.0218.3% implied
Under 0.518.51% implied
Over 1.51.117% implied
Under 1.55.753.3% implied
Over 2.51.413.4% implied
Under 2.52.76.9% implied
Over 3.52.158.7% implied
Under 3.51.6611.3% implied
Over 4.53.65.2% implied
Under 4.51.2515% implied

BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE

GG1.5360.9% implied
NG2.3839.1% implied

DOUBLE CHANCE

1X1.1666.8% implied
X22.3333.2% implied

FIRST HALF RESULT

Lugano2.0543.4% implied
Draw2.5534.9% implied
Basel4.0921.7% implied

SECOND HALF RESULT

Lugano1.8449.2% implied
Draw2.9730.5% implied
Basel4.4520.3% implied

HALF GOALS

1st half over 0.51.219.3% implied
1st half under 0.545.8% implied
1st half over 1.52.0511.3% implied
1st half under 1.51.6913.7% implied
2nd half over 0.51.1520.2% implied
2nd half under 0.554.6% implied
2nd half over 1.51.6713.9% implied
2nd half under 1.52.111.1% implied

CORNERS

Over 7.51.1616% implied
Under 7.54.354.3% implied
Over 8.51.3413.8% implied
Under 8.52.96.4% implied
Over 9.51.7610.5% implied
Under 9.52.28.4% implied
Over 10.51.949.6% implied
Under 10.51.7610.5% implied
Over 11.52.477.5% implied
Under 11.51.4412.9% implied

MOST CORNERS

Lugano1.465% implied
Draw9.59.6% implied
Basel3.5825.4% implied

WIN TO NIL

Lugano3.375.2% implied
Basel1024.8% implied

Team comparison

57%Points per game43%
LuganoBasel
58%Expected goals42%
LuganoBasel
Corners / game
10.90
Cards / game
4.73
Offsides / game
2.00

Goal lines

  • Over 0.5 goals100%
  • Over 1.5 goals82%
  • Over 2.5 goals82%
  • Over 3.5 goals54%
  • Over 4.5 goals37%
  • Both teams score55%
  • 1st half over 0.582%
  • 1st half over 1.564%
  • 2nd half over 0.5100%
  • 2nd half over 1.537%
  • Both score, 1st half29%
  • Corners over 8.574%
  • Corners over 9.564%
  • Corners over 10.545%

Season numbers

11Played11
10Won4
1Drawn2
0Lost5
34Goals for17
9Goals against20
31Points14

Lugano vs Basel: preview

Lugano meet Basel in the Switzerland, Switzerland Super League on 1 November 2026 at 16:30 (Africa/Lagos). The listed venue is Stadio di Cornaredo. The recorded score is 2–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Lugano at 1.6. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 59% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.4, about 65.9% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on GG at 1.53. FootyStats lists an over 2.5 potential of 82% for this fixture. The both-teams-to-score potential is 55%. The average-goals potential is 3.74.

Lugano are listed at 2.67 points per game. Basel are listed at 2 points per game. Points per game is a season rate. It does not include late team news, so treat it as context next to the prices.

Lugano vs Basel questions

What time is Lugano vs Basel?
Kickoff is 16:30 on 1 November 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.
Which outcome is shortest on Lugano vs Basel?
Lugano is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.6. The margin-adjusted share is about 59%.
What are the over and under 2.5 prices?
Over 2.5 is 1.4 and under 2.5 is 2.7.
Do both teams score on this match?
Both teams to score is priced at 1.53. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.