Millwall vs Derby County prediction, H2H and stats
England · England Championship
Millwall
13th in table
DWLDL
Kick-off
4–1
31 October 2026
Derby County
23rd in table
DDLLD
The Den, Zampa Road, Bermondsey
Head to head
Last 8 meetings10Millwall wins
8Draws
6Derby County wins
1.6Goals / game
50%Both scored
13%Over 2.5
- Goals / game
- 2.00
- Over 1.5
- 50%
- Over 2.5
- 33%
- Over 3.5
- 13%
- Both teams scored
- 38%
- Home clean sheets
- 46%
- Away clean sheets
- 33%
1 - 0Derby CountyW1 - 1MillwallD0 - 1MillwallW1 - 1Derby CountyD1 - 2MillwallW1 - 1Derby CountyD0 - 1MillwallW0 - 1Derby CountyLEngland Championship table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Middlesbrough | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 27:17 | +10 | 25 | |
| 2 | Southampton | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 24:12 | +12 | 24 | |
| 3 | Swansea City | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 16:13 | +3 | 23 | |
| 4 | West Ham United | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 32:15 | +17 | 22 | |
| 5 | Wolverhampton Wanderers | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 20:16 | +4 | 21 | |
| 6 | West Bromwich Albion | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 16:13 | +3 | 21 | |
| 7 | Birmingham City | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 20:12 | +8 | 20 | |
| 8 | Queens Park Rangers | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 20:12 | +8 | 20 | |
| 9 | Stoke City | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 18:16 | +2 | 20 | |
| 10 | Blackburn Rovers | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 19:16 | +3 | 18 | |
| 11 | Portsmouth | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 16:15 | +1 | 18 | |
| 12 | Sheffield United | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 16:15 | +1 | 16 | |
| 13 | Millwall | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 19:20 | -1 | 15 | LDL |
| 14 | Bristol City | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 12:15 | -3 | 15 | |
| 15 | Lincoln City | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13:20 | -7 | 15 | |
| 16 | Cardiff City | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 19:17 | +2 | 14 | |
| 17 | Wrexham | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 15:18 | -3 | 14 | |
| 18 | Charlton Athletic | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 11:18 | -7 | 14 | |
| 19 | Bolton Wanderers | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 16:23 | -7 | 14 | |
| 20 | Norwich City | 12 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 20:22 | -2 | 12 | |
| 23 | Derby County | 12 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 10:21 | -11 | 7 | LLD |
Recent form
Millwall
Last 6 stored matches
1Win
3Draw
2Lost
ScoredConceded
- 24 OctoberL
Portsmouth2–1Millwall
- 17 OctoberD
Millwall2–2Lincoln City
- 13 OctoberL
Millwall0–1Swansea City
- 10 OctoberW
Preston North End0–1Millwall
- 19 SeptemberD
Millwall2–2West Ham United
- 15 SeptemberD
Middlesbrough2–2Millwall
Derby County
Last 6 stored matches
0Win
3Draw
3Lost
ScoredConceded
- 24 OctoberD
Sheffield United1–1Derby County
- 17 OctoberL
Derby County0–1Stoke City
- 14 OctoberL
Queens Park Rangers4–1Derby County
- 10 OctoberD
Derby County1–1Wrexham
- 19 SeptemberD
Burnley1–1Derby County
- 12 SeptemberL
Derby County1–2Birmingham City
Trends
This competitionMillwall
- Millwall scored 1.3 per game in the last 6 in this competition.
- Millwall conceded 1.5 per game in the last 6 in this competition.
- Failed to score in 1 of those 6.
- Kept a clean sheet in 1 of those 6.
- Over 2.5 goals in 4 of those 6.
- Both teams scored in 4 of those 6.
Derby County
- Derby County scored 0.8 per game in the last 6 in this competition.
- Derby County conceded 1.7 per game in the last 6 in this competition.
- Failed to score in 1 of those 6.
- Over 2.5 goals in 2 of those 6.
- Both teams scored in 5 of those 6.
Attack, shots and defence
Averages per game from the stored matches in this competition before kickoff.
Next matches
This competitionMillwall
Derby County
Bottom thirdMid tableTop third
Who wins
1 · X · 2- Millwall56%
- Draw24%
- Derby County20%
Bookmaker prices, margin removed
- Over 2.552%
- Under 2.548%
Bookmaker prices, margin removed
- GG54%
- NG46%
Bookmaker prices, margin removed
- 1X65%
- X236%
Bookmaker prices, margin removed
Bookmaker odds
Head to head
The bookmaker bar is the stored prices with the margin removed. Head to head is the count of earlier meetings. Neither is a promised result.
Betting markets
MATCH RESULT
TOTAL GOALS
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE
DOUBLE CHANCE
FIRST HALF RESULT
SECOND HALF RESULT
HALF GOALS
CORNERS
MOST CORNERS
WIN TO NIL
Team comparison
- Corners / game
- 11.50
- Cards / game
- 5.00
- Offsides / game
- 6.00
Goal lines
- Over 0.5 goals100%
- Over 1.5 goals92%
- Over 2.5 goals67%
- Over 3.5 goals34%
- Over 4.5 goals9%
- Both teams score50%
- 1st half over 0.592%
- 1st half over 1.525%
- 2nd half over 0.5100%
- 2nd half over 1.567%
- Both score, 1st half0%
- Corners over 8.583%
- Corners over 9.575%
- Corners over 10.567%
Season numbers
Millwall vs Derby County: preview
Millwall meet Derby County in the England, England Championship on 31 October 2026 at 16:00 (Africa/Lagos). The listed venue is The Den. The recorded score is 4–1.
On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Millwall at 1.64. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 56% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.
The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.8, about 52.4% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on GG at 1.73. FootyStats lists an over 2.5 potential of 67% for this fixture. The both-teams-to-score potential is 50%. The average-goals potential is 3.
Millwall are listed at 1.33 points per game. Derby County are listed at 0.83 points per game. Points per game is a season rate. It does not include late team news, so treat it as context next to the prices.
Millwall vs Derby County questions
- What time is Millwall vs Derby County?
- Kickoff is 16:00 on 31 October 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.
- Which outcome is shortest on Millwall vs Derby County?
- Millwall is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.64. The margin-adjusted share is about 56%.
- What are the over and under 2.5 prices?
- Over 2.5 is 1.8 and under 2.5 is 1.98.
- Do both teams score on this match?
- Both teams to score is priced at 1.73. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.