Real Madrid vs RB Leipzig prediction, H2H and stats

Europe · Europe UEFA Champions League

Real Madrid

10th in table

WW

Kick-off

4–1

21 October 2026

RB Leipzig

29th in table

LW

Estadio Santiago Bernabéu, Avenida de Concha Espina 1, Chamartín

Head to head

Last 4 meetings
4games

2Real Madrid wins

1Draws

1RB Leipzig wins

2.5Goals / game

50%Both scored

25%Over 2.5

Goals / game
2.50
Over 1.5
75%
Over 2.5
25%
Over 3.5
25%
Both teams scored
50%
Home clean sheets
50%
Away clean sheets
0%
6 MarchReal Madrid1 - 1RB LeipzigD
13 FebruaryRB Leipzig0 - 1Real MadridW
25 OctoberRB Leipzig3 - 2Real MadridL
14 SeptemberReal Madrid2 - 0RB LeipzigW

Europe UEFA Champions League table

#TeamPts
1PSG9
2Liverpool9
3Stuttgart7
4Aston Villa6
5FC Barcelona6
6Arsenal6
7Manchester City6
8Sporting CP6
9Real Betis6
10Real Madrid6
11Borussia Dortmund6
12Bayern München4
13Roma4
14Shakhtar Donetsk4
15Atlético Madrid4
16PSV4
17Como3
18Manchester United3
19Club Brugge3
20Lech Poznań3
29RB Leipzig3

Recent form

Real Madrid

Last 2 stored matches

2Win

0Draw

0Lost

Under 1.5 · 0%Over 1.5 · 100%
Under 2.5 · 0%Over 2.5 · 100%
Under 3.5 · 50%Over 3.5 · 50%

ScoredConceded

  • 14 OctoberW

    Roma3–4Real Madrid

  • 8 SeptemberW

    Real Madrid2–1Inter Milan

RB Leipzig

Last 2 stored matches

1Win

0Draw

1Lost

Under 1.5 · 50%Over 1.5 · 50%
Under 2.5 · 50%Over 2.5 · 50%
Under 3.5 · 50%Over 3.5 · 50%

ScoredConceded

  • 13 OctoberW

    RB Leipzig1–0PSV

  • 10 SeptemberL

    Como4–1RB Leipzig

Attack, shots and defence

Averages per game from the stored matches in this competition before kickoff.

Real MadridRB Leipzig
2Played2
82Attack93.5
43Dangerous attacks55.5
16Shots16.5
8Shots on target5.5
17.5Shots faced12.5
3Goals scored1
2Goals conceded2
41Possession46
6.5Corners5.5
1Cards2

Next matches

This competition

Real Madrid

AEK Athens (A)4 November
PSV (H)24 November
Arsenal (A)9 December
LASK Linz (H)19 January
Shakhtar Donetsk (A)27 January

RB Leipzig

Manchester City (H)4 November
Lens (H)24 November
Manchester United (A)8 December
Shakhtar Donetsk (H)20 January
Feyenoord (A)27 January

Bottom thirdMid tableTop third

Who wins

1 · X · 2
1X2
78%13%
  • Real Madrid78%
  • Draw13%
  • RB Leipzig9%

Bookmaker prices, margin removed

Over / under 2.5
82%18%
  • Over 2.582%
  • Under 2.518%

Bookmaker prices, margin removed

Both teams score
65%35%
  • GG65%
  • NG35%

Bookmaker prices, margin removed

Double chance
79%21%
  • 1X79%
  • X221%

Bookmaker prices, margin removed

Bookmaker odds

Head to head

Real MadridDrawRB Leipzig

The bookmaker bar is the stored prices with the margin removed. Head to head is the count of earlier meetings. Neither is a promised result.

Betting markets

MATCH RESULT

Real Madrid1.2378.4% implied
Draw7.512.9% implied
RB Leipzig118.8% implied

TOTAL GOALS

Over 0.51.0118.8% implied
Under 0.5340.6% implied
Over 1.51.0418.2% implied
Under 1.5111.7% implied
Over 2.51.1316.8% implied
Under 2.553.8% implied
Over 3.51.512.6% implied
Under 3.52.637.2% implied
Over 4.52.128.9% implied
Under 4.51.6711.4% implied

BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE

GG1.4565% implied
NG2.6935% implied

DOUBLE CHANCE

1X1.0679.1% implied
X2420.9% implied

FIRST HALF RESULT

Real Madrid1.5659.1% implied
Draw3.3827.3% implied
RB Leipzig6.813.6% implied

SECOND HALF RESULT

Real Madrid1.4364.3% implied
Draw4.1522.2% implied
RB Leipzig6.813.5% implied

HALF GOALS

1st half over 0.51.121.5% implied
1st half under 0.56.53.6% implied
1st half over 1.51.6214.6% implied
1st half under 1.52.3610% implied
2nd half over 0.51.0722.1% implied
2nd half under 0.58.52.8% implied
2nd half over 1.51.3417.7% implied
2nd half under 1.53.127.6% implied

CORNERS

Over 7.51.1615.7% implied
Under 7.53.655% implied
Over 8.51.3613.4% implied
Under 8.52.886.3% implied
Over 9.51.5911.5% implied
Under 9.52.158.5% implied
Over 10.529.1% implied
Under 10.51.7210.6% implied
Over 11.52.577.1% implied
Under 11.51.4212.8% implied

MOST CORNERS

Real Madrid1.2570.3% implied
Draw108.8% implied
RB Leipzig4.220.9% implied

WIN TO NIL

Real Madrid390.6% implied
RB Leipzig299.4% implied

Team comparison

67%Points per game33%
Real MadridRB Leipzig
51%Expected goals49%
Real MadridRB Leipzig
Corners / game
12.00
Cards / game
3.00
Offsides / game
2.00

Goal lines

  • Over 0.5 goals100%
  • Over 1.5 goals75%
  • Over 2.5 goals75%
  • Over 3.5 goals50%
  • Over 4.5 goals50%
  • Both teams score75%
  • 1st half over 0.575%
  • 1st half over 1.575%
  • 2nd half over 0.5100%
  • 2nd half over 1.550%
  • Both score, 1st half0%
  • Corners over 8.575%
  • Corners over 9.575%
  • Corners over 10.575%

Season numbers

2Played2
2Won1
0Drawn0
0Lost1
6Goals for2
4Goals against4
6Points3

Real Madrid vs RB Leipzig: preview

Real Madrid meet RB Leipzig in the Europe, Europe UEFA Champions League on 21 October 2026 at 20:00 (Africa/Lagos). The listed venue is Estadio Santiago Bernabéu. The recorded score is 4–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Real Madrid at 1.23. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 78.4% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.13, about 81.6% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on GG at 1.45. FootyStats lists an over 2.5 potential of 75% for this fixture. The both-teams-to-score potential is 75%. The average-goals potential is 4.

Real Madrid are listed at 3 points per game. RB Leipzig are listed at 1.5 points per game. Points per game is a season rate. It does not include late team news, so treat it as context next to the prices.

Real Madrid vs RB Leipzig questions

What time is Real Madrid vs RB Leipzig?
Kickoff is 20:00 on 21 October 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.
Which outcome is shortest on Real Madrid vs RB Leipzig?
Real Madrid is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.23. The margin-adjusted share is about 78.4%.
What are the over and under 2.5 prices?
Over 2.5 is 1.13 and under 2.5 is 5.
Do both teams score on this match?
Both teams to score is priced at 1.45. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.