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Independiente vs Boca Juniors prediction, H2H and stats

Season 16571

Independiente

8th in table

DWLWD

Kick-off

0–1

25 October 2026

Boca Juniors

1st in table

WWWDW

Estadio Libertadores de América, Calle Ricardo Enrique Bochini (ex. Almirante Cordero) 751/83 esq. Alsina

Head to head

Last 8 meetings
14games

3Independiente wins

7Draws

4Boca Juniors wins

2Goals / game

50%Both scored

25%Over 2.5

Goals / game
1.86
Over 1.5
57%
Over 2.5
29%
Over 3.5
14%
Both teams scored
43%
Home clean sheets
36%
Away clean sheets
36%
11 AprilBoca Juniors1 - 1IndependienteD
20 MayBoca Juniors0 - 1IndependienteW
14 DecemberBoca Juniors0 - 0IndependienteD
29 JulyIndependiente0 - 2Boca JuniorsL
23 OctoberBoca Juniors2 - 2IndependienteD
27 FebruaryIndependiente2 - 2Boca JuniorsD
25 NovemberIndependiente1 - 0Boca JuniorsW
29 MarchIndependiente1 - 1Boca JuniorsD

Season 16571 table

#TeamPts
1Boca Juniors54
2Independiente Rivadavia53
3Vélez Sarsfield52
4Gimnasia La Plata51
5Instituto50
6Lanús47
7Estudiantes45
8Independiente45
9Huracán44
10Defensa y Justicia43
11Barracas Central40
12Sarmiento40
13San Lorenzo40
14Gimnasia Mendoza39
15Unión Santa Fe38
16Racing Club36
17Newell's Old Boys35
18Talleres Córdoba34
19Tigre33
20Banfield31

Recent form

Independiente

Last 6 stored matches

3Win

2Draw

1Lost

Under 1.5 · 33%Over 1.5 · 67%
Under 2.5 · 67%Over 2.5 · 33%
Under 3.5 · 83%Over 3.5 · 17%

ScoredConceded

  • 18 OctoberD

    Racing Club1–1Independiente

  • 12 OctoberW

    Talleres Córdoba0–1Independiente

  • 2 OctoberL

    Independiente1–4Instituto

  • 19 SeptemberW

    Unión Santa Fe1–2Independiente

  • 13 SeptemberD

    Independiente1–1San Lorenzo

  • 6 SeptemberW

    Central Córdoba SdE0–1Independiente

Boca Juniors

Last 6 stored matches

4Win

2Draw

0Lost

Under 1.5 · 0%Over 1.5 · 100%
Under 2.5 · 17%Over 2.5 · 83%
Under 3.5 · 50%Over 3.5 · 50%

ScoredConceded

  • 17 OctoberW

    Boca Juniors2–1Talleres Córdoba

  • 9 OctoberD

    Instituto2–2Boca Juniors

  • 3 OctoberW

    Boca Juniors3–0Unión Santa Fe

  • 20 SeptemberW

    San Lorenzo0–2Boca Juniors

  • 12 SeptemberW

    Boca Juniors3–1Central Córdoba SdE

  • 5 SeptemberD

    Gimnasia Mendoza2–2Boca Juniors

Attack, shots and defence

Averages per game from the stored matches in this competition before kickoff.

IndependienteBoca Juniors
6Played6
97.5Attack107.7
39Dangerous attacks46.5
13Shots14.3
3.5Shots on target5.7
15Shots faced10.5
1.2Goals scored2.3
1.2Goals conceded1
49.7Possession60
3.5Corners4.2
2.5Cards2.5

Next matches

This competition

Independiente

Defensa y Justicia (A)2 November
Deportivo Riestra (H)8 November

Boca Juniors

River Plate (H)1 November
Defensa y Justicia (H)8 November

Bottom thirdMid tableTop third

Who wins

1 · X · 2
1X2
28%29%43%
  • Independiente28%
  • Draw29%
  • Boca Juniors43%

Bookmaker prices, margin removed

Over / under 2.5
39%61%
  • Over 2.539%
  • Under 2.561%

Bookmaker prices, margin removed

Both teams score
46%54%
  • GG46%
  • NG54%

Bookmaker prices, margin removed

Double chance
50%50%
  • 1X50%
  • X250%

Bookmaker prices, margin removed

Bookmaker odds

Head to head

IndependienteDrawBoca Juniors

The bookmaker bar is the stored prices with the margin removed. Head to head is the count of earlier meetings. Neither is a promised result.

Betting markets

MATCH RESULT

Independiente3.1728.4% implied
Draw3.129% implied
Boca Juniors2.1142.6% implied

TOTAL GOALS

Over 0.51.0717.5% implied
Under 0.56.72.8% implied
Over 1.51.4213.2% implied
Under 1.52.67.2% implied
Over 2.52.467.6% implied
Under 2.51.5612% implied
Over 3.54.753.9% implied
Under 3.51.215.6% implied
Over 4.58.62.2% implied
Under 4.51.0517.9% implied

BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE

GG245.9% implied
NG1.754.1% implied

DOUBLE CHANCE

1X1.2449.8% implied
X21.2350.2% implied

FIRST HALF RESULT

Independiente4.720% implied
Draw2.0645.7% implied
Boca Juniors2.7434.3% implied

SECOND HALF RESULT

Independiente4.1521.8% implied
Draw2.2540.3% implied
Boca Juniors2.3937.9% implied

HALF GOALS

1st half over 0.51.4515.9% implied
1st half under 0.52.559% implied
1st half over 1.53.66.4% implied
1st half under 1.51.2518.4% implied
2nd half over 0.51.3117.6% implied
2nd half under 0.53.087.5% implied
2nd half over 1.52.479.3% implied
2nd half under 1.51.4615.8% implied

CORNERS

Over 7.51.413% implied
Under 7.52.67% implied
Over 8.51.7510.4% implied
Under 8.51.949.4% implied
Over 9.52.248.1% implied
Under 9.51.5311.9% implied
Over 10.53.046% implied
Under 10.51.2914.1% implied
Over 11.54.34.2% implied
Under 11.51.1515.8% implied

MOST CORNERS

Independiente2.7333.1% implied
Draw8.510.6% implied
Boca Juniors1.6156.2% implied

WIN TO NIL

Independiente5.537.5% implied
Boca Juniors3.362.5% implied

Team comparison

45%Points per game55%
IndependienteBoca Juniors
47%Expected goals53%
IndependienteBoca Juniors
Corners / game
10.77
Cards / game
4.50
Offsides / game
3.73

Goal lines

  • Over 0.5 goals95%
  • Over 1.5 goals75%
  • Over 2.5 goals40%
  • Over 3.5 goals20%
  • Over 4.5 goals7%
  • Both teams score55%
  • 1st half over 0.564%
  • 1st half over 1.534%
  • 2nd half over 0.575%
  • 2nd half over 1.539%
  • Both score, 1st half25%
  • Corners over 8.565%
  • Corners over 9.550%
  • Corners over 10.539%

Season numbers

30Played30
12Won14
9Drawn12
9Lost4
38Goals for45
36Goals against26
45Points54

Independiente vs Boca Juniors: preview

Independiente meet Boca Juniors in the Season 16571 on 25 October 2026 at 21:00 (Africa/Lagos). The listed venue is Estadio Libertadores de América. The recorded score is 0–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Boca Juniors at 2.11. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 42.6% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.56, about 61.2% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on NG at 1.7. FootyStats lists an over 2.5 potential of 40% for this fixture. The both-teams-to-score potential is 55%. The average-goals potential is 2.42.

Independiente are listed at 1.5 points per game. Boca Juniors are listed at 1.8 points per game. Points per game is a season rate. It does not include late team news, so treat it as context next to the prices.

Independiente vs Boca Juniors questions

What time is Independiente vs Boca Juniors?
Kickoff is 21:00 on 25 October 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.
Which outcome is shortest on Independiente vs Boca Juniors?
Boca Juniors is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.11. The margin-adjusted share is about 42.6%.
What are the over and under 2.5 prices?
Over 2.5 is 2.46 and under 2.5 is 1.56.
Do both teams score on this match?
Both teams to score is priced at 2. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.