Freiburg vs Bayern München prediction, H2H and stats

Germany · Germany Bundesliga

Freiburg

3rd in table

WWDWL

Kick-off

1–3

25 October 2026

Bayern München

1st in table

DWWDW

Europa-Park Stadion, Schwarzwaldstraße 193

Head to head

Last 8 meetings
33games

2Freiburg wins

6Draws

25Bayern München wins

3.6Goals / game

63%Both scored

75%Over 2.5

Goals / game
3.45
Over 1.5
91%
Over 2.5
73%
Over 3.5
42%
Both teams scored
64%
Home clean sheets
3%
Away clean sheets
36%
4 AprilFreiburg2 - 3Bayern MünchenL
22 NovemberBayern München6 - 2FreiburgL
25 JanuaryFreiburg1 - 2Bayern MünchenL
1 SeptemberBayern München2 - 0FreiburgL
1 MarchFreiburg2 - 2Bayern MünchenD
8 OctoberBayern München3 - 0FreiburgL
8 AprilFreiburg0 - 1Bayern MünchenL
4 AprilBayern München1 - 2FreiburgW

Germany Bundesliga table

#TeamPts
1Bayern München14
2Borussia Dortmund14
3Freiburg13
4Bayer Leverkusen13
5Mainz 0510
6Elversberg10
7RB Leipzig9
8Werder Bremen9
9Hamburger SV9
10Augsburg8
11Eintracht Frankfurt8
12Köln7
13Stuttgart6
14Hoffenheim6
15Schalke 045
16Paderborn5
17Union Berlin5
18Borussia M'gladbach0

Recent form

Freiburg

Last 6 stored matches

4Win

1Draw

1Lost

Under 1.5 · 17%Over 1.5 · 83%
Under 2.5 · 17%Over 2.5 · 83%
Under 3.5 · 50%Over 3.5 · 50%

ScoredConceded

  • 18 OctoberL

    Bayer Leverkusen2–1Freiburg

  • 11 OctoberW

    Freiburg2–1Schalke 04

  • 19 SeptemberD

    Eintracht Frankfurt2–2Freiburg

  • 12 SeptemberW

    Freiburg5–0Borussia M'gladbach

  • 5 SeptemberW

    Paderborn0–1Freiburg

  • 30 AugustW

    Freiburg4–1Werder Bremen

Bayern München

Last 6 stored matches

4Win

2Draw

0Lost

Under 1.5 · 17%Over 1.5 · 83%
Under 2.5 · 17%Over 2.5 · 83%
Under 3.5 · 33%Over 3.5 · 67%

ScoredConceded

  • 17 OctoberW

    Bayern München6–1RB Leipzig

  • 10 OctoberD

    Augsburg2–2Bayern München

  • 18 SeptemberW

    Bayern München7–0Union Berlin

  • 13 SeptemberW

    Elversberg1–2Bayern München

  • 5 SeptemberD

    Schalke 040–0Bayern München

  • 28 AugustW

    Bayern München5–1Stuttgart

Attack, shots and defence

Averages per game from the stored matches in this competition before kickoff.

FreiburgBayern München
6Played6
91.7Attack149.3
39.8Dangerous attacks95.7
16.2Shots24.3
5.3Shots on target10.3
9.2Shots faced7.8
2.5Goals scored3.7
1Goals conceded0.8
52.5Possession69
5.2Corners9.7
1.8Cards0.8

Next matches

This competition

Freiburg

Augsburg (A)31 October
Union Berlin (H)8 November
Elversberg (A)21 November
RB Leipzig (H)29 November
Hoffenheim (H)5 December

Bayern München

Borussia Dortmund (H)31 October
Mainz 05 (A)7 November
Köln (H)20 November
Hamburger SV (A)28 November
Paderborn (H)5 December

Bottom thirdMid tableTop third

Who wins

1 · X · 2
1X2
15%16%69%
  • Freiburg15%
  • Draw16%
  • Bayern München69%

Bookmaker prices, margin removed

Over / under 2.5
78%22%
  • Over 2.578%
  • Under 2.522%

Bookmaker prices, margin removed

Both teams score
67%33%
  • GG67%
  • NG33%

Bookmaker prices, margin removed

Double chance
49%51%
  • 1X49%
  • X251%

Bookmaker prices, margin removed

Bookmaker odds

Head to head

FreiburgDrawBayern München

The bookmaker bar is the stored prices with the margin removed. Head to head is the count of earlier meetings. Neither is a promised result.

Betting markets

MATCH RESULT

Freiburg6.2515% implied
Draw5.7516.3% implied
Bayern München1.3668.8% implied

TOTAL GOALS

Under 0.511.62% implied
Over 1.51.0522.3% implied
Under 1.592.6% implied
Over 2.51.2418.9% implied
Under 2.54.335.4% implied
Over 3.51.6114.5% implied
Under 3.52.389.8% implied
Over 4.52.459.6% implied
Under 4.51.5714.9% implied

BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE

GG1.3966.9% implied
NG2.8133.1% implied

DOUBLE CHANCE

1X1.1348.9% implied
X21.0851.1% implied

FIRST HALF RESULT

Freiburg4.5219.2% implied
Draw328.9% implied
Bayern München1.6751.9% implied

SECOND HALF RESULT

Freiburg518.1% implied
Draw3.2527.8% implied
Bayern München1.6754.1% implied

HALF GOALS

1st half over 0.51.1520.6% implied
1st half under 0.55.94% implied
1st half over 1.51.7813.3% implied
1st half under 1.52.0711.4% implied
2nd half over 0.51.121.5% implied
2nd half under 0.573.4% implied
2nd half over 1.51.4416.4% implied
2nd half under 1.52.59.5% implied

CORNERS

Over 7.51.2215.2% implied
Under 7.53.55.3% implied
Over 8.51.4313% implied
Under 8.52.537.3% implied
Over 9.51.949.6% implied
Under 9.51.989.4% implied
Over 10.52.248.3% implied
Under 10.51.5512% implied
Over 11.52.926.3% implied
Under 11.51.3513.7% implied

MOST CORNERS

Freiburg3.724% implied
Draw9.59.3% implied
Bayern München1.3366.7% implied

WIN TO NIL

Freiburg1716% implied
Bayern München3.2584% implied

Team comparison

64%Points per game36%
FreiburgBayern München
38%Expected goals62%
FreiburgBayern München
Corners / game
16.00
Cards / game
2.34
Offsides / game
2.66

Goal lines

  • Over 0.5 goals84%
  • Over 1.5 goals84%
  • Over 2.5 goals84%
  • Over 3.5 goals50%
  • Over 4.5 goals34%
  • Both teams score67%
  • 1st half over 0.584%
  • 1st half over 1.550%
  • 2nd half over 0.584%
  • 2nd half over 1.567%
  • Both score, 1st half17%
  • Corners over 8.584%
  • Corners over 9.567%
  • Corners over 10.567%

Season numbers

6Played6
4Won4
1Drawn2
1Lost0
15Goals for22
6Goals against5
13Points14

Freiburg vs Bayern München: preview

Freiburg meet Bayern München in the Germany, Germany Bundesliga on 25 October 2026 at 17:30 (Africa/Lagos). The listed venue is Europa-Park Stadion. The recorded score is 1–3.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Bayern München at 1.36. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 68.8% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.24, about 77.7% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on GG at 1.39. FootyStats lists an over 2.5 potential of 84% for this fixture. The both-teams-to-score potential is 67%. The average-goals potential is 3.33.

Freiburg are listed at 3 points per game. Bayern München are listed at 1.67 points per game. Points per game is a season rate. It does not include late team news, so treat it as context next to the prices.

Freiburg vs Bayern München questions

What time is Freiburg vs Bayern München?
Kickoff is 17:30 on 25 October 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.
Which outcome is shortest on Freiburg vs Bayern München?
Bayern München is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.36. The margin-adjusted share is about 68.8%.
What are the over and under 2.5 prices?
Over 2.5 is 1.24 and under 2.5 is 4.33.
Do both teams score on this match?
Both teams to score is priced at 1.39. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.