Thun vs Lugano prediction, H2H and stats

Switzerland · Switzerland Super League

Thun

9th in table

LLLWL

Kick-off

2–3

25 October 2026

Lugano

1st in table

WDWWW

Stockhorn Arena, Weststrasse 12

Head to head

Last 8 meetings
25games

8Thun wins

7Draws

10Lugano wins

2.9Goals / game

50%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

Goals / game
2.96
Over 1.5
80%
Over 2.5
56%
Over 3.5
28%
Both teams scored
72%
Home clean sheets
8%
Away clean sheets
24%
25 AprilThun0 - 1LuganoL
4 AprilLugano1 - 0ThunL
22 NovemberThun0 - 1LuganoL
27 JulyLugano1 - 2ThunW
10 FebruaryThun3 - 4LuganoL
15 JulyLugano1 - 1ThunD
9 FebruaryThun3 - 2LuganoW
24 NovemberThun0 - 3LuganoL

Switzerland Super League table

#TeamPts
1Lugano28
2Young Boys22
3Sion19
4St. Gallen16
5Zürich14
6Servette13
7Basel13
8Luzern12
9Thun10
10Vaduz9
11Grasshopper8
12Lausanne Sport6

Recent form

Thun

Last 6 stored matches

1Win

1Draw

4Lost

Under 1.5 · 33%Over 1.5 · 67%
Under 2.5 · 33%Over 2.5 · 67%
Under 3.5 · 50%Over 3.5 · 50%

ScoredConceded

  • 10 OctoberL

    Zürich4–2Thun

  • 20 SeptemberW

    Vaduz1–2Thun

  • 16 SeptemberL

    Thun2–4Servette

  • 12 SeptemberL

    Thun0–1Grasshopper

  • 6 SeptemberL

    Sion3–2Thun

  • 2 SeptemberD

    Thun0–0Lausanne Sport

Lugano

Last 6 stored matches

5Win

1Draw

0Lost

Under 1.5 · 17%Over 1.5 · 83%
Under 2.5 · 17%Over 2.5 · 83%
Under 3.5 · 17%Over 3.5 · 83%

ScoredConceded

  • 10 OctoberW

    Lugano4–0Luzern

  • 20 SeptemberW

    Lausanne Sport0–4Lugano

  • 16 SeptemberW

    Lugano4–1St. Gallen

  • 12 SeptemberD

    Lugano2–2Young Boys

  • 6 SeptemberW

    Basel1–3Lugano

  • 3 SeptemberW

    Lugano1–0Servette

Attack, shots and defence

Averages per game from the stored matches in this competition before kickoff.

ThunLugano
6Played6
99.8Attack107.2
62.7Dangerous attacks46.3
17Shots18.7
3.7Shots on target5.8
14.2Shots faced12
1.3Goals scored3
2.2Goals conceded0.7
50.2Possession59.8
6.7Corners6.3
3.3Cards3.5

Next matches

This competition

Thun

Lausanne Sport (A)1 November
Basel (H)8 November
Young Boys (A)21 November
St. Gallen (H)29 November
Luzern (H)5 December

Lugano

Basel (H)1 November
St. Gallen (A)8 November
Grasshopper (H)21 November
Luzern (A)29 November
Zürich (A)5 December

Bottom thirdMid tableTop third

Who wins

1 · X · 2
1X2
30%23%47%
  • Thun30%
  • Draw23%
  • Lugano47%

Bookmaker prices, margin removed

Over / under 2.5
68%32%
  • Over 2.568%
  • Under 2.532%

Bookmaker prices, margin removed

Both teams score
67%33%
  • GG67%
  • NG33%

Bookmaker prices, margin removed

Double chance
51%49%
  • 1X51%
  • X249%

Bookmaker prices, margin removed

Bookmaker odds

Head to head

ThunDrawLugano

The bookmaker bar is the stored prices with the margin removed. Head to head is the count of earlier meetings. Neither is a promised result.

Betting markets

MATCH RESULT

Thun329.8% implied
Draw3.922.9% implied
Lugano1.8947.3% implied

TOTAL GOALS

Over 0.51.0118.5% implied
Under 0.5210.9% implied
Over 1.51.1216.7% implied
Under 1.56.532.9% implied
Over 2.51.3314.1% implied
Under 2.52.816.7% implied
Over 3.51.949.6% implied
Under 3.51.8310.2% implied
Over 4.53.16% implied
Under 4.51.314.4% implied

BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE

GG1.3666.9% implied
NG2.7533.1% implied

DOUBLE CHANCE

1X1.2151.4% implied
X21.2848.6% implied

FIRST HALF RESULT

Thun3.6425.7% implied
Draw2.7134.5% implied
Lugano2.3539.8% implied

SECOND HALF RESULT

Thun3.4625.9% implied
Draw2.7532.5% implied
Lugano2.1541.6% implied

HALF GOALS

1st half over 0.51.1420.1% implied
1st half under 0.54.455.2% implied
1st half over 1.5211.5% implied
1st half under 1.51.7912.8% implied
2nd half over 0.51.0821.2% implied
2nd half under 0.55.54.2% implied
2nd half over 1.51.5714.6% implied
2nd half under 1.52.2110.4% implied

CORNERS

Over 7.51.215.4% implied
Under 7.53.725% implied
Over 8.51.4312.9% implied
Under 8.52.557.2% implied
Over 9.51.6511.2% implied
Under 9.52.198.4% implied
Over 10.52.158.6% implied
Under 10.51.5711.8% implied
Over 11.52.57.4% implied
Under 11.51.5112.2% implied

MOST CORNERS

Thun2.241.6% implied
Draw8.710.5% implied
Lugano1.9147.9% implied

WIN TO NIL

Thun835.1% implied
Lugano4.3364.9% implied

Team comparison

8%Points per game92%
ThunLugano
50%Expected goals50%
ThunLugano
Corners / game
12.00
Cards / game
5.50
Offsides / game
2.50

Goal lines

  • Over 0.5 goals88%
  • Over 1.5 goals75%
  • Over 2.5 goals75%
  • Over 3.5 goals63%
  • Over 4.5 goals38%
  • Both teams score50%
  • 1st half over 0.575%
  • 1st half over 1.525%
  • 2nd half over 0.575%
  • 2nd half over 1.575%
  • Both score, 1st half13%
  • Corners over 8.550%
  • Corners over 9.538%
  • Corners over 10.538%

Season numbers

10Played10
3Won9
1Drawn1
6Lost0
17Goals for31
27Goals against7
10Points28

Thun vs Lugano: preview

Thun meet Lugano in the Switzerland, Switzerland Super League on 25 October 2026 at 14:00 (Africa/Lagos). The listed venue is Stockhorn Arena. The recorded score is 2–3.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Lugano at 1.89. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 47.3% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.33, about 67.9% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on GG at 1.36. FootyStats lists an over 2.5 potential of 75% for this fixture. The both-teams-to-score potential is 50%. The average-goals potential is 3.63.

Thun are listed at 0.25 points per game. Lugano are listed at 3 points per game. Points per game is a season rate. It does not include late team news, so treat it as context next to the prices.

Thun vs Lugano questions

What time is Thun vs Lugano?
Kickoff is 14:00 on 25 October 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.
Which outcome is shortest on Thun vs Lugano?
Lugano is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.89. The margin-adjusted share is about 47.3%.
What are the over and under 2.5 prices?
Over 2.5 is 1.33 and under 2.5 is 2.81.
Do both teams score on this match?
Both teams to score is priced at 1.36. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.