Santos vs Bahia prediction, H2H and stats

Brazil · Brazil Serie A

Santos

8th in table

WWDLW

Kick-off

1–1

25 October 2026

Bahia

7th in table

WLLWL

Estádio Urbano Caldeira, Rue Princesa Isabel 77, Vila Belmiro

Head to head

Last 8 meetings
21games

10Santos wins

6Draws

5Bahia wins

2.3Goals / game

50%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

Goals / game
2.14
Over 1.5
67%
Over 2.5
43%
Over 3.5
19%
Both teams scored
29%
Home clean sheets
52%
Away clean sheets
33%
25 AprilBahia2 - 2SantosD
24 AugustBahia2 - 0SantosL
7 AprilSantos2 - 2BahiaD
19 SeptemberBahia1 - 2SantosW
31 MayBahia1 - 1SantosD
17 MaySantos0 - 0BahiaD
10 MaySantos3 - 0BahiaW
12 SeptemberSantos0 - 0BahiaD

Brazil Serie A table

#TeamPts
1Flamengo67
2Palmeiras66
3Atlético PR53
4Fluminense51
5Cruzeiro51
6Atlético Mineiro50
7Bahia49
8Santos45
9São Paulo42
10Bragantino41
11Botafogo39
12Coritiba39
13Vitória37
14Mirassol36
15Vasco da Gama35
16Corinthians33
17Internacional32
18Grêmio31
19Remo26
20Chapecoense18

Recent form

Santos

Last 6 stored matches

4Win

1Draw

1Lost

Under 1.5 · 0%Over 1.5 · 100%
Under 2.5 · 0%Over 2.5 · 100%
Under 3.5 · 83%Over 3.5 · 17%

ScoredConceded

  • 18 OctoberW

    Fluminense1–2Santos

  • 11 OctoberL

    Atlético Mineiro2–1Santos

  • 8 OctoberD

    Santos2–2Flamengo

  • 3 OctoberW

    São Paulo1–2Santos

  • 19 SeptemberW

    Remo1–2Santos

  • 13 SeptemberW

    Santos2–1Cruzeiro

Bahia

Last 6 stored matches

3Win

0Draw

3Lost

Under 1.5 · 33%Over 1.5 · 67%
Under 2.5 · 33%Over 2.5 · 67%
Under 3.5 · 83%Over 3.5 · 17%

ScoredConceded

  • 18 OctoberL

    Bahia0–3Flamengo

  • 11 OctoberW

    Bahia1–0Mirassol

  • 9 OctoberL

    Palmeiras1–0Bahia

  • 20 SeptemberL

    Atlético PR2–1Bahia

  • 15 SeptemberW

    Bahia2–1Remo

  • 5 SeptemberW

    Bragantino2–3Bahia

Attack, shots and defence

Averages per game from the stored matches in this competition before kickoff.

SantosBahia
6Played6
101.2Attack89.5
44.7Dangerous attacks41
15.7Shots12.2
4.8Shots on target3.8
14Shots faced17.5
1.8Goals scored1.2
1.3Goals conceded1.5
48.3Possession51.7
5.2Corners5.2
3.3Cards2.3

Next matches

This competition

Santos

Palmeiras (H)28 October
Bragantino (A)3 November
Coritiba (A)18 November
Grêmio (H)21 November
Vitória (A)28 November

Bahia

São Paulo (H)29 October
Cruzeiro (A)6 November
Grêmio (A)18 November
Coritiba (H)21 November
Botafogo (A)28 November

Bottom thirdMid tableTop third

Who wins

1 · X · 2
1X2
52%24%24%
  • Santos52%
  • Draw24%
  • Bahia24%

Bookmaker prices, margin removed

Over / under 2.5
58%42%
  • Over 2.558%
  • Under 2.542%

Bookmaker prices, margin removed

Both teams score
60%40%
  • GG60%
  • NG40%

Bookmaker prices, margin removed

Double chance
61%39%
  • 1X61%
  • X239%

Bookmaker prices, margin removed

Bookmaker odds

Head to head

SantosDrawBahia

The bookmaker bar is the stored prices with the margin removed. Head to head is the count of earlier meetings. Neither is a promised result.

Betting markets

MATCH RESULT

Santos1.851.9% implied
Draw3.924% implied
Bahia3.8824.1% implied

TOTAL GOALS

Over 0.51.0118.7% implied
Under 0.5151.3% implied
Over 1.51.1716.1% implied
Under 1.54.74% implied
Over 2.51.7111% implied
Under 2.52.338.1% implied
Over 3.52.477.6% implied
Under 3.51.5212.4% implied
Over 4.53.94.8% implied
Under 4.51.1816% implied

BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE

GG1.5760.3% implied
NG2.3839.7% implied

DOUBLE CHANCE

1X1.261.3% implied
X21.938.7% implied

FIRST HALF RESULT

Santos2.339.3% implied
Draw2.3638.3% implied
Bahia4.0522.3% implied

SECOND HALF RESULT

Santos2.241.9% implied
Draw2.7633.4% implied
Bahia3.7424.7% implied

HALF GOALS

1st half over 0.51.2318.7% implied
1st half under 0.53.277% implied
1st half over 1.52.2310.3% implied
1st half under 1.51.5914.5% implied
2nd half over 0.51.1719.7% implied
2nd half under 0.54.65% implied
2nd half over 1.51.7613.1% implied
2nd half under 1.51.9711.7% implied

CORNERS

Over 7.51.1316.2% implied
Under 7.553.7% implied
Over 8.51.2414.8% implied
Under 8.53.345.5% implied
Over 9.51.4612.5% implied
Under 9.52.357.8% implied
Over 10.51.8110.1% implied
Under 10.51.939.5% implied
Over 11.52.387.7% implied
Under 11.51.512.2% implied

MOST CORNERS

Santos1.4359.2% implied
Draw99.4% implied
Bahia2.731.4% implied

WIN TO NIL

Santos3.7566.7% implied
Bahia7.533.3% implied

Team comparison

51%Points per game49%
SantosBahia
52%Expected goals48%
SantosBahia
Corners / game
11.33
Cards / game
5.67
Offsides / game
3.06

Goal lines

  • Over 0.5 goals97%
  • Over 1.5 goals83%
  • Over 2.5 goals53%
  • Over 3.5 goals30%
  • Over 4.5 goals17%
  • Both teams score64%
  • 1st half over 0.587%
  • 1st half over 1.540%
  • 2nd half over 0.574%
  • 2nd half over 1.537%
  • Both score, 1st half27%
  • Corners over 8.580%
  • Corners over 9.570%
  • Corners over 10.547%

Season numbers

31Played31
12Won13
9Drawn10
10Lost8
48Goals for44
46Goals against39
45Points49

Santos vs Bahia: preview

Santos meet Bahia in the Brazil, Brazil Serie A on 25 October 2026 at 01:00 (Africa/Lagos). The listed venue is Estádio Urbano Caldeira. The recorded score is 1–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Santos at 1.8. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 51.9% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.71, about 57.7% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on GG at 1.57. FootyStats lists an over 2.5 potential of 53% for this fixture. The both-teams-to-score potential is 64%. The average-goals potential is 2.84.

Santos are listed at 1.53 points per game. Bahia are listed at 1.47 points per game. Points per game is a season rate. It does not include late team news, so treat it as context next to the prices.

Santos vs Bahia questions

What time is Santos vs Bahia?
Kickoff is 01:00 on 25 October 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.
Which outcome is shortest on Santos vs Bahia?
Santos is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.8. The margin-adjusted share is about 51.9%.
What are the over and under 2.5 prices?
Over 2.5 is 1.71 and under 2.5 is 2.33.
Do both teams score on this match?
Both teams to score is priced at 1.57. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.